The Biggest Questions About AI
The map · 1 Trajectory · 1.2 General intelligence and missing capabilities · 1.2.2

Missing ingredients

Are continual learning, causal reasoning, world models, embodied experience, persistent memory, or social understanding still major unsolved problems?

LeCun and others argue autoregressive LLMs structurally lack world models and continual learning; scaling proponents reply that these emerge with scale or can be scaffolded around. Continual learning is increasingly cited as the binding gap.

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What changed
October 2025–August 2026 · swept August 3, 2026 · editorial review pending
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The missing-ingredients list got both shorter and better funded: a companion analysis to the Definition-of-AGI paper argues long-term memory is the only gap where models score zero, Google shipped an architectural attack on exactly that gap, and LeCun raised over a billion dollars on the thesis that the whole list — world models first — requires leaving the current paradigm.

Recent thinking
4 featured from 7 tracked · October 2025–August 2026 · all 7 chronologically →
Adam Khoja & Laura Hiscott · AI Frontiers · 22 Oct 2025 essay
AGI's Last Bottlenecks
the rest of the way will mostly require business-as-usual research and engineering

Scores GPT-5 at ~57% of AGI and argues every remaining gap except one is tractable engineering — long-term memory storage/continual learning is the only capability where models 'score zero' and a genuine breakthrough may be required.

Caiwei Chen · MIT Technology Review · 22 Jan 2026 news
Yann LeCun's new venture is a contrarian bet against large language models
LLMs are limited to the discrete world of text. They can't truly reason or plan, because they lack a model of the world.

Well-reported account of LeCun's AMI Labs and his JEPA/world-model program — the most prominent institutional bet that the missing ingredients require a fundamentally different architecture.

Ali Behrouz & Vahab Mirrokni · Google Research · 7 Nov 2025 report
Introducing Nested Learning: A new ML paradigm for continual learning
Nested Learning treats a single ML model not as one continuous process, but as a system of interconnected, multi-level learning problems that are optimized simultaneously.

Google's flagship architectural attack on catastrophic forgetting — the main evidence that labs are treating continual learning as solvable by architecture rather than scaffolding.

Demis Hassabis · Google DeepMind podcast (via EA Forum summary) · 19 Dec 2025 podcast
Demis Hassabis on what's still needed for AGI
The models today are pretty capable, but there are still some missing attributes: things like reasoning, hierarchical planning, long-term memory.

Lab leadership's current missing-ingredients list — continual learning, world models, hierarchical planning, long-term memory, and hypothesis invention — notably longer than scaling-optimist rivals concede.

Additional relevant discussion (3)
Yann LeCun's AMI Labs raises $1.03B to build world models — Anna Heim · TechCrunch · 9 Mar 2026
LeCun's World Models Talk: What Holds Up and What Doesn't — Eren Gölge · Substack · 12 Jun 2026
8 Predictions for the Era of Continual Learning — Dwarkesh Patel · Dwarkesh Podcast · 7 Aug 2026
Foundational reading (3)Why I don't think AGI is right around the cornerDwarkesh Patel · 2025A Path Towards Autonomous Machine IntelligenceYann LeCun · 2022Why AGI is still a decade away: agents lack continual learning — “the decade of agents”Andrej Karpathy (@karpathy) on X · 2025
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