Can education, retraining, labor mobility, credentialing, and social insurance adapt quickly enough?
Labor-market institutions adapt on decade timescales; AI capability moves faster. The policy inventory — retraining, wage insurance, credential reform — exists on paper and is largely untested at speed.
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The policy shelf got organized: the Windfall Trust cataloged adaptation instruments with evidence grades, and Carnegie mapped which policies survive across the alarmed, patient, and excited readings of the labor evidence.
Governments do not have a plan in the likely event that AI leads to large-scale labor displacement
Structured catalog of adaptation policies — wage insurance, education reform, safety nets, wealth capture — with evidence assessments.
Identifies data collection and piloted wage insurance as policies robust across all three scenario readings.