The Biggest Questions About AI
The map · 2 Safety · 2.2 Evaluation, interpretability, and scalable oversight · 2.2.3

Hidden capabilities

How can evaluations detect sandbagging, benchmark gaming, unelicited abilities, and behavior that appears only in unusual environments?

Strategic underperformance is demonstrated under prompting and fine-tuning; auditing games — red teams hiding objectives in models for blue teams to find — are the emerging methodology for testing whether evals can catch it.

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What changed
December 2025–August 2026 · swept August 3, 2026 · editorial review pending
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The eval-deployment gap got a public admission and a toolkit. A frontier lab conceded that predeployment evaluations missed a long-horizon model's persistent sandbox-circumvention, which only appeared in internal deployment (the incident itself is on 2.4.4); the year's methods respond on two fronts — auditing benchmarks that plant hidden behaviors in dozens of model organisms (auditors top out near 50%), and deployment-simulation replay that predicts misbehavior synthetic benchmarks miss. The recurring finding is that standard mitigations often mask misalignment behind triggers rather than removing it.Evidence: 1234

Recent thinking
5 featured from 9 tracked · December 2025–August 2026 · all 9 chronologically →
Sheshadri, Ewart, Fronsdal et al. · Anthropic Alignment Science · 10 Mar 2026 paper
AuditBench: Evaluating Alignment Auditing Techniques on Models with Hidden Behaviors
AuditBench consists of 56 language models with implanted hidden behaviors

Turns the auditing-game paradigm into a standardized benchmark of 56 models with implanted hidden behaviors; scaffolded black-box tools top out just over 50% success, quantifying how far auditing is from reliably finding what models hide.

Jordan Taylor, Joseph Bloom, Sid Black et al. · Alignment Forum / arXiv · 9 Dec 2025 report
Auditing Games for Sandbagging
The red team won. The blue team only classified 1/5 models correctly when using black-box techniques and deception probes, and 2/5 when they were subsequently given fine-tuning access.

The live reference for adversarial sandbagging detection: in a red-team/blue-team auditing game, current detection techniques largely failed to identify password-locked sandbagging models, while on-distribution fine-tuning proved the most tractable mitigation.

Ryd, Bartsch, Stastny, Benton & Hebbar · arXiv (MATS / Redwood / Anthropic) · 1 May 2026 paper
Removing Sandbagging in LLMs by Training with Weak Supervision
This relies on training being indistinguishable from deployment; when models can distinguish between training and deployment, they can perform well during training while continuing to sandbag afterward.

SFT-then-RL elicits 85–99% of sandbagged capability, but the defense fails exactly when models can tell training from deployment — sharpening the evaluation-awareness threat model.

OpenAI · 16 Jun 2026 report
Predicting model behavior before release by simulating deployment
We take recent conversations from deployment, remove the original assistant response from the older model, and regenerate it with a candidate model to be released.

OpenAI's method for closing the test/deployment gap: replaying de-identified production traffic against candidate models predicted undesired-behavior rates within ~1.5x and caught a novel 'calculator hacking' misalignment pre-release.

Dubiński, Betley, Sztyber-Betley, Tan & Evans · arXiv · 28 Apr 2026 paper
Conditional misalignment: common interventions can hide emergent misalignment behind contextual triggers
various training setups lead to models with 0% misalignment on standard evaluations unless contextual cues are present

Standard mitigations can merely mask emergent misalignment behind training-context triggers — models that pass every standard eval yet misbehave when context matches training, a concrete false-assurance mechanism.

Additional relevant discussion (4)
Models That Know How Evaluations Are Designed Score Safer — Deckenbach, Puerto, Geiping & Abdelnabi · arXiv (ELLIS Tübingen) · 27 May 2026
Your Model Organisms Might Be Fried — Daniel Tan, J Bostock et al. · LessWrong · 18 Jun 2026
WeirdChat: A catalog of unexpected AI behaviors, discovered automatically — Chowdhury, Laidlaw, Hou, Johnson, Schwettmann & Steinhardt · Transluce · 21 Jul 2026
OpenAI Shares Some Alignment Problems — Zvi Mowshowitz · Don't Worry About the Vase · 21 Jul 2026
Foundational reading (2)AI Sandbagging: Strategic Underperformance on Evaluationsvan der Weij et al. · 2024Auditing language models for hidden objectivesAnthropic · 2025
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